A Study of Consumer Trust in Internet Shopping And the Moderating Effect of Risk Aversion in Mainland China

A Study of Consumer Trust in Internet Shopping  And the Moderating Effect of Risk Aversion in  Mainland China

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Abstract

Having many advantages that traditional shopping channels lack of, Internet shopping is

now enjoying its prevalence and rapid development in Mainland China. Famous online

shopping websites including Taobao.com and Amazon.cn attract millions of transactions

as well as new users every day. In many previous researches, focus has been found in the

relationship between consumer trust and its antecedents. Researchers have also

established that online purchase intentions are the product of consumer trust.

The objective of this study is to reexamine some factors affecting consumer trust in

Mainland China as well as to investigate the effect of risk aversion as a moderator on the

relationship between trust and purchase intention.

This paper provided evidence that trust in Internet shopping is built on high service

quality as well as website quality. Size of online retailers is found to be negatively

related to trust. Notably, risk aversion moderates negatively on the effect of trust toward

consumer purchase intention. Implications and suggestions for further research are also

provided in the study.

Table of Contents

1. Introduction......................................................................1

1.1 Statement of the problem..........................................................................1

1.2 Objectives of the study............................................................1

2. Literature review................................................................3

2.1 The concept of trust in Internet shopping........................................3

2.2 Factors impacting trust ..........................................................5

2.3 Risk aversion....................................................................6

2.4 Outcomes of trust................................................................7

3. Research model and hypotheses..............................................8

3.1 Model........................................................................................8

3.2 Statements of Hypotheses.................................................................8

4. Methodology....................................................................11

4.1 Sampling and Data Collection...................................................11

4.1.1 Sampling Method..........................................................11

4.1.2 Sample Size...............................................................12

4.2 Questionnaire Design..........................................................12

4.3 Measurements..................................................................13

5. Findings and Analysis .........................................................14

5.1 Primary data analysis and descriptive statistics.......................................14

5.2 Reliability Analysis.......................................................................15

5.3 T-Test.......................................................................................16

5.4 Regression Analysis.......................................................................17

6. Discussions and Implications.................................................22

6.1 Trust in Internet shopping...............................................................24

6.2 Moderating effect of risk aversion......................................................24

6.3 Theoretical implications.................................................................26

6.4 Managerial implications.................................................................27

7. Limitations and Future Research............................................29

8. Conclusion .....................................................................30

References ........................................................................32

Appendix ...........................................................................36

List of Figures

Figure 1 Conceptual Framework............................................................8

Figure 2 Conceptual Model: Direct Effects on Trust.....................................17

Figure 3 Conceptual Model: Direct Effect of Trust on Purchase Intention............19

Figure 4 Conceptual Model: Moderating Effect of Risk Aversion......................20

Figure 5 Conceptual Explanation: Negative Moderating Effect of Risk Aversion......25

List of Tables

Table 1 Demographic Profile of Respondents...............................................15

Table 2 Reliability Analysis...................................................................16

Table 3 Multiple Regressions: Direct Effects on Trust.....................................19

Table 4 Hierarchical Multiple Regressions: Moderating Effect of Risk Aversion......21

Table 5 Hypotheses Tests.......................................................................22

Table 6 Measurements...........................................................................37

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1. Introduction

1.1. Statement of the problem

The adoption of the Internet as a way to purchase goods and services has seen an

increasing trend over the past two decades globally. Compared to traditional shopping,

the Internet not only facilitates transactions between buyers and sellers from anywhere

at any time, but also provides a wide range of product choices and a platform for

exchanging ideas for customers with low costs. To achieve the success of electronic

commerce, companies place great emphasis on attracting customers continuously and

building long-term relationship with customers on the web.

However, people still remain reluctant to make purchases on the Internet due to the

lack of trust toward businesses in the new electronic environment. Past researches have

indicated that consumers’ lack of trust constituted a key barrier to the use of Internet

shopping as well as long-term commitment to the relationship building. Gefen,

Karahanna, and Straub (2003) identified lack of consumer trust in Internet vendors as a

major factor inhibiting online purchases. Trust plays an essential role for facilitating

online transactions between consumers and electronic retailers and realizing the

development of e-commerce to consumers in the long run (Sonja, 2002).

1.2. Objectives of study

Although the Internet offers enormous advantages which seem to attract massive

interest of customers, recent survey showed that the penetration rate of online

purchasing stayed relatively low, especially in China. According to the most recent

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“Statistical Report of China Internet Network Development”, the popularity of online

shopping among all Internet users has just reached 26% by the end of June 2009.

Past studies have demonstrated, with empirical evidence, the important role of

consumer trust in Internet shopping (Gefen & Straub, 2004) and argued that the most

significant long-term barrier to the success of the Internet as a commercial medium in

mass markets is a lack of consumer trust in the Internet (Jarvenpaa, Tractinsky & Vitale,

2000; Hoffman, Novak & Peralta, 1999).

However, previous studies that only focus on trust of consumers provide a limited

view of the phenomenon and may hinder a comprehensive understanding of the

consumer purchasing behavior in the e-commerce context in China. In part, this stems

from the cultural values that shape the consumer characteristics and influence the

relationship between trust and consumer purchase intention on the web. For instance,

Bao, Zhou and Su (2003) observed that risk aversion as one of the cultural dimensions

affects consumers’ decision-making. As trust indicates the level of consumers’

perceived risk in the Internet shopping, different degrees of their risk aversion may

have non-ignorable effects on the online buying behavior.

In order to bridge the gap, the objectives of this paper, therefore, are to first

investigate factors affecting consumers’ trust towards Internet shopping in Mainland

China and how it influences their purchase intention. A second objective is to further

examine whether risk aversion as an important consumer psychological attribute places

a moderating effect on the relationship between trust and purchase intention of

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consumers in Mainland China.

It is expected that consumer trust will be positively related to four antecedents and

risk aversion will negatively moderate the effect of trust on consumer buying intention.

The results will not only provide insights for future research in the new area of risk

aversion as a moderator, but also offer practical implications for building consumer

trust online as well as raise purchase intentions even from customers with high risk

aversion.

2. Literature Review

2.1. The concept of trust in Internet shopping

Before a review of previous literatures on trust in the context of Internet shopping, we

first need to have a look at general definitions of trust in various disciplines.

The concept “trust” is defined as the willingness of a party to be vulnerable to the

actions of another party based on the expectation that the other will perform a

particular action important to the trustor, irrespective of the ability to monitor or

control that other party (Mayer, Davis and Schoorman, 1995). This definition is widely

recognized and commonly cited in other researchers’ work. Later Doney and Cannon

(1997) defined trust as the perceived credibility and benevolence of a target of trust.

According to another two researchers, Lewis and Weigert (1985), trust is further

identified as “the understanding of a risky course of action on the confident

expectation that all persons involved in the action will act competently and dutifully”

(p.971). And precisely, Bhattacharya, Devinney and Pillutla (1998) and Boon and

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Holmes (1991) conceived trust as predictability and reliance upon another person

under uncertain and risky circumstances.

In the electronic commerce context, a large number of researchers have proposed

both conceptual and empirical studies of trust. Some researchers viewed trust as a

general belief that another party can be trusted (Gefen 2000; Hosmer 1995; Moorman,

Zaltman & Deshpande 1992). One of the most popular studies on electronic commerce

trust is the one conducted by Mayer, Davis and Schoorman (1995) who viewed trust as

a trustor’s intention to take a risk and proposed the trustor’s perceptions about a

trustee’s characteristics as the main predictors of trust. Another commonly cited study

is the conceptual model of McKnight, Cummings and Chervany (1998) where the

researchers defined trust as trusting beliefs and trusting intention only in uncertain and

risky situations and the approach was widely tested by later studies. For example,

Schlosser, White and Lloyd (2006) adopted the model and viewed trust as a way to

reduce uncertainty and complexity in website consumers. Among other studies is the

one that identified trust as a buyer’s perception of appropriate conditions being in place

to facilitate transaction success with online sellers (Pavlou and Gefen, 2004). As

pointed out by Sonja (2002), trust plays a crucial role in the development of electronic

business and some relevant factors in the emergence of trust problems in on

transactions should be therefore analyzed.

In this paper, the definition of trust in the Internet shopping context proposed by

Rousseau (1998) will be employed. According to the author, trust is a psychological

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condition comprising the intention to accept vulnerability based on positive

expectations of another party’s intention or behavior, in interdependent and risky

environment (Rousseau, 1998).

2.2. Factors impacting trust in Internet shopping

In the electronic commerce context, there are several factors considered as predictors

of trust in online vendors as proposed by previous researchers. They are reputation,

size, perceived service quality and perceived website quality.

Customer’s perceptions of a company’s profile include reputation as well as and

affect trust in the process of Internet shopping. Jarvenpaa and Tractinsky (1999)

considered size and reputation to be the predictors of trust. For example, the authors

believed that larger companies were more likely to be around longer and larger and

more reputable ones might be more trusted by customers (Jarvenpaa & Tractinsky,

1999). Other researchers also viewed reputation and size as important factors forming

consumer trust (Grazioli & Jarvenpaa, 2000; Pavlou, 2003; Kim, Xu & Koh, 2004;

Koufaris & Hampton-Sosa, 2004).

Customers’ perceptions of a company’s service quality affect trust in online

shopping (Daignault, 2001). It seems to be the most significant factor of maintaining

trust and building e-retailer – customer relationships, according to Kim and Tadisina

(2007). As Anderson and Fornell (1994) observed in their study, a high level of service

quality is likely to cause a high level of customer satisfaction which will lead to a

customer’s positive experience and understanding of the company. In this way,

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customer’s trusting beliefs as well as trusting attitude are confirmed (Kim & Tadisina,

2007). The perceived service quality includes warranties (Grazioli & Jarvenpaa, 2000),

guarantees (Pennington, Wilcox & Grover, 2003-2004), and customized services and

delivery performance (Doney & Cannon, 1997), as well as the general concept of

company’s service quality (Gefen, 2002; Kim, Xu, & Koh, 2004).

Perceived website quality also plays an important role in determining consumer trust

in online shopping (McKnight, Choudhury, & Kacmar, 2002; Araujo, 2003; Kim, Xu,

& Koh, 2004). Websites that are perceived easy to use and of good quality are more

like to build a high level trust in consumers (Wakefield, Stocks, & Wilder, 2004; Want

& Benbasat, 2005)

2.3. Risk aversion

The term risk aversion is defined as “the extent to which people feel threatened by a

ambiguous situations, and have created beliefs and institutions that try to avoid these”

(Hofstede & Bond, 1984, p419). People with high risk aversion tend to feel threatened

by risky and ambiguous situations (Hofstede, 1991). Bao, Zhou and Su (2003)

examined the effects of risk aversion, one of the most important cultural dimensions,

on consumer decision-making and compared two consumer decision-making styles

under cultural differences between United States and China. In order to maintain the

within-group harmony in China as a typically collectivistic society, people are

expected to behave as a group (Bao, Zhou, & Su, 2003), and risk-taking behavior is

often discouraged (Tse, 1996).

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Another similar study on risk aversion affecting consumers’ decision making is

carried out by Shimp and Bearden (1982) who found that highly risk-averse customers

are likely to search for more information regarding product quality when they make

purchasing decisions. On the other hand, as suggested by Seenkamp, Hofstede and

Wedel (1999), people with low risk aversion feel less threatened by ambiguous and

novel circumstances and tend to feel excited by the purchase of new and innovative

products.

According to the rationale proposed by Raju (1980), the optimum stimulation level,

defined as a property that characterized a person in terms of his general response to

environmental stimuli, is positively related to both risk-taking behavior and switching

behavior. Based on this rationale, Ranaweera, Bansal and McDougall (2008) examined

the effect of risk aversion as one of consumer characteristics on the purchase intention

on the Internet. However, the research focused on the effect of risk aversion on the

relationship between website satisfaction of consumers and their purchase intention

(Bao, Zhou, & Su, 2003). In this paper, the emphasis will be on examining the possible

impact of risk aversion on the relationship between consumers’ trust and the behavioral

intentions.

2.4. Outcomes of trust in Internet shopping

Consumers’ purchase intention is one of the common behavioral dimensions resulting

from their trust in Internet shopping (Boulding, Kalra, Staelin, & Zeithaml, 1993).

Previous research on the relationship between consumer trust and purchase intention

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by McKnight and Chervany (2002) found out that when customers hold high level of

trust they are more willing to depend on the Internet vendor and make online

purchases.

3. Research Model and Hypotheses

3.1. Model

Based on the literature review, a conceptual model has been designed to study the

effects of perceived company’s reputation, size, perceived service quality and website

quality on consumer trust in Internet shopping and also the effect of risk aversion on

the relationship between consumer trust and purchase intention as a moderator.

Figure 1 Conceptual Framework

3.2. Statement of hypotheses

3.2.1 Factors impacting consumer trust in Internet shopping

Reputation

The perceived reputation is defined as the extent to which consumers believe a selling

(-)

Reputation

Size

Perceived Service

Quality

Perceived Website

Quality

Trust in

Internet Shopping

Purchase

Intention

Risk

Aversion

(+)

(+)

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company is honest and concerned about its customers (Doney & Cannon, 1997). A

company with a good reputation indicated that long-term investments of resources,

effort, and attention to customer relationship building have been taken into great

concern by that company. Consumers tend to favor companies with a good reputation

in the electronic commerce as they perceive lower risk and uncertainty and know

where to seek for help from the public if something really goes wrong. Therefore this

paper hypothesizes that:

H1: The perceived company’s reputation is positively related to consumers’ trust in

Internet shopping.

Size

Similar to reputation, customers’ perceived size of a company plays an important role

in forming their trust toward Internet shopping. Large size is a signal to buyers that the

company is successful and capable to compensate its customers even there’s

transaction failure (Jarvenpaa, Tractinsky, & Vitale, 2000). In addition, companies

with large size are believed to have more resources which enhance the level of trust in

consumers. Therefore, this paper hypothesized that:

H2: The perceived company’s size is positively to consumers’ trust in Internet

shopping.

Perceived Service Quality

The perceived service quality is related to gaining consumer trust and building

long-term customer relationship by providing high-quality services (Grefen, 2002; Kim,

Xu, & Koh, 2004), including guarantees (Grefen, Karahanna, & Straub, 2003),

warranties (Grazioli & Jarvenpaa, 2000; Pennington, Wilcox, & Grover, 2003-2004),

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and customized services (Doney & Cannon, 1997). A high level of perceived service

quality enables customers to have more trust in the Internet vendor and make

commitment to the relationship with the company. This paper therefore proposes the

hypothesis that:

H3: The perceived service quality is positively to consumers’trust in Internet shopping.

Perceived Site Quality

A high level of perceived site quality implicates that customers find it easy and

convenient to find the information they need and make transaction on the particular

website. People tend to hold a high level of trust in the online shopping when they

perceive easy use as well as high quality of the website. This paper therefore proposes

the hypothesis that:

H4: The perceived website quality is positively related to consumers’ trust in Internet

shopping.

3.2.2. Trust in Internet Shopping

Trust, defined as the consumers’ willingness to be vulnerable to the actions of an

Internet vendor in an online shopping transaction (Lee & Turban, 2001), is the basis of

customers participating in electronic commerce. Trust helps to reduce customers’

perceived complexity and uncertainty in the online context thus a heightened level of

trust encourages consumers’ activities on the Internet. Hence, it is hypothesized in this

paper that:

H5: Consumers’trust in Internet shopping is positively related to purchase intention.

3.2.3. Risk Aversion

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Risk aversion is the extent to which customers feel threatened due to ambiguous and

risky environment (Hofstede & Bond, 1984). Faced with low level of trust and high

perceived risk inherited in the Internet transaction context, customers with low risk

aversion may still have relatively strong propensity to participate in online shopping

than those with high risk aversion since they are more open to new opportunities and

shopping styles. However on the other hand, customers who are highly risk-aversion

may still remain reluctant to purchase online though they hold a certain level of trust

toward the Internet vendor. Therefore it is hypothesized that:

H6: Risk aversion will negatively moderate the effect of consumers’ trust in Internet

shopping on the purchase intention.

4. Methodology

4.1. Sampling and Data Collection

4.1.1. Sampling Method

Since the study focuses on factors affecting online trust and how risk aversion

moderates the intensity of consumer trust toward purchase intention, the target

population are individuals from Mainland China who have some knowledge of Internet

shopping. Therefore the target sample should be Internet shoppers who have made

purchases on the Internet at least once. In this research, two sampling methods were

adopted. Simple random sampling was used to collect data using mall-intercept

interviews in Shenzhen. Several places were chosen, including two shopping malls

with one called Maoye Department Store in Huaqiangbei Business center and another

called Wanxiang City, as well as a book center in the city. Every 10th person leaving the

shopping mall will be selected and asked to fill in the paper-form questionnaires and

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provide opinions related to the constructs of the study. This method is preferred

because it avoids bias in selecting sample unit and is more efficient for the respondent

to come to the interviewer than for the interviewer to go to the respondent (Malhotra,

2007). However in order to overcome the possible bias that people visiting shopping

center tend to be more used to and satisfied with physical shopping, an online survey

on www.my3q.com was created and convenience sampling was used. In order to

assure the reliability as well as representativeness of the result, this method was taken

to draw samples from different cities in Mainland China and different age groups of

people by distributing through social networks for a period of one month.

4.1.2. Sample Size

As the ratio of observations to independent variable affects whether the result of

multiple regressions can be generalized, an observations-to-independent variable ratio

of 40 is considered reasonable (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2001). In this research, given the

number of variables being 6, the sample size of 240 is calculated to meet the statistical

requirement (6*40=240). At last a total number of 259 questionnaires were distributed.

142 of them were obtained from simple random sampling while 117 were from

convenience sampling through Internet.

4.2. Questionnaire Design

The questionnaire was designed in Chinese and consisted of three major parts. After

the first part of asking basic online shopping behavior to screen out those who haven’t

tried Internet shopping, the second part of the questionnaire was divided into four

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sections measuring factors of forming customer trust (reputation, size, perceived

service quality, and perceived site quality), trust, risk aversion as well as purchase

intention. A Five-point Likert Scale is used in the questionnaire ranging from 1 being

strongly disagree to 5 being strongly agree. And the last part of the questionnaire was

for demographic data collection including respondents’ age, gender, occupation,

educational level as well as average monthly income.

4.3. Measurements

Each variable from the model will be measured with several items derived from

previous research and Table 1 (refer to Appendix A) summarized all the items and

sources of those items.

Reputation. Customers’ perceived reputation of a company is measured by two items

that one is adopted from Park & Kim (2003) and the other one from Teltzrow, Gunther

& Pohle (2003).

Size. Customers’ perceived size of a company is measured by two items adopted from

Doney & Cannon (1997).

Perceived Service Quality. Customers’ perceived service quality is measured by five

item adopted from several previous researches, two from Doney & Cannon (1997), two

from Grefen, Karahanna, & Straub (2003), and one from Grefen (2002).

Perceived Site Quality. It is measured by five items adopted from McKnight,

Choudhury & Kacmar (2002).

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Trust. Trust towards Internet shopping is measured by six items where four items are

adopted from McKnight, Choudhury & Kacmar (2002) and two of them from Ribbink,

Riel, Liljander & Streukens (2004).

Risk Aversion. The risk aversion scale is based on the original scale developed by Raju

(1980) which was used subsequently by Keaveney and Parthasarathy (2001) and Bao,

Zhou & Su (2003). It is measured by three items.

Purchase Intention. Purchase Intention is measured by three items adopted from

McKnight, Choudhury & Kacmar (2002).

5. Findings and Analysis

The program of SPSS (The Statistical Package for the Social Science) was used to

analyze the data. All statistics were run at 95% confidence level.

5.1. Primary data analysis and descriptive statistics

Among a total number of 259 respondents, 231 of them had online shopping

experience while 28 didn’t. Therefore the total sample number is 231.

Of 231 usable samples, 44.2% were male while 55.8% were female. 92.6% of the

respondents were aged between 19 and 35 and 98.7% of them held a university degree.

The percentages of students and clerical workers were 58.4% and 13.4% which made

up nearly 72% of total respondents, followed by professionals of 11.3%.

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Demographic

Characteristics

Total

Numbers

Percentage

(%)

Gender

Male 102 44.2

Female 129 55.8

Age

19 – 25 156 67.5

26 – 35 58 25.1

36 – 45 14 6.1

46 or above 3 1.3

Education

Secondary School 3 1.3

Tertiary School 228 98.7

Occupation

Student 135 58.4

Clerical worker 31 13.4

Managerial level 7 3.0

Professional 26 11.3

Self-employed 6 2.6

Others 26 11.3

Income (in RMB)

Below 2000 137 59.3

2000 – 2999 25 10.8

3000 – 3999 27 11.7

4000 – 4999 21 9.1

5000 – 5999 20 8.7

Missing 1 0.4

Table 1 Demographic Profile of Respondents

5.2. Reliability Analysis

After the reverse coded item was recoded, Cronbach’s alpha was used to evaluate the

validity as well as the internal reliability of each construct (Cronbach, 1951). For the

scales of Reputation, Perceived Service Quality, Perceived Website Quality, Trust, and

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Purchase Intention, the reported Cronbach’s alpha values ranged from 0.817 to 0.872

which were all higher than the acceptable reliability of 0.7 recommended by Mayer

and Davis (1999). And Risk Aversion also had a satisfactory reliability level of 0.735.

However, the alpha value of Size was only 0.610 and should not be accepted.

Therefore the “alpha if item deleted” and “corrected item-total correlation” were

considered. The new Cronbach’s alpha value of Size rose to 0.696 after the originally

reverse coded item was deleted and the mean scores for each variable were then

calculated for running subsequent statistics. The Table summarized the detailed

reliability value for each construct.

Variables Items Cronbach’s

Alphas

Reputation 3 0.817

Size 2 0.696

Perceived Service Quality 5 0.838

Perceived Website Quality 4 0.869

Trust 6 0.851

Risk Aversion 3 0.735

Purchase Intension 3 0.872

Table 2 Reliability Analysis

5.3 T-Test

Since two sampling methods were used in the research, a total number of 231 samples

were consisted of two groups, 121 from simple random sampling and 110 from

convenience sampling. In order to show that there’s no significant difference between

these two samples, a t-test analysis was conducted in SPSS. As shown in Table below,

two sampling methods did not have significant difference (p value < 0.05) in the

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mean scores for all variables at 95% confidence level. In other words, the data

collected by two sampling methods did not give rise to different results.

5.4. Regression Analysis

Multiple regressions were used to find out both the direct effects of four individual

variables on consumer trust in Internet shopping and the moderating effect of risk

aversion on the relationship between trust and purchase intention.

5.4.1 Direct Effects of Reputation, Size, Perceived Service Quality, and

Perceived Website Quality on Trust.

To simplify the understanding of model, Reputation, Size, Perceived Service Quality,

and Perceived Website Quality were regarded as four independent variables while

Trust in Internet shopping was regarded as a dependent variable. Table summarized the

steps and results of running multiple regressions.

Independent Variables

Dependent Variable

Figure 2 Conceptual Model: Direct Effects on Trust

As shown in Table, there were two stages to test the direct effects among variables.

Firstly, control variables including gender, age, occupation as well as income were

Reputation

Size

Perceived Service

Quality

Perceived Website

Quality

Trust in

Internet Shopping

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tested in applying regression. For the second step, trust was regressed on reputation,

size, perceived service quality and perceived website quality and the result was

significant with p value being 0.000 and change in R square being 0.250. However,

while size, perceived service quality and perceived website quality were powerful to

explain the variance in Trust with p value less than 0.05, the regression of trust on

reputation was not significant. The unstandardized coefficients B for the three

significant variables were -0.167, 0.351 and 0.340 respectively. That is, while

perceived service quality and website quality both had a positive effect directly on

consumer trust in Internet shopping, size of the website had a negative effect on

consumer Trust which was opposite to the hypothesis. Refer to Appendix for the

complete SPSS output.

Unstandardized

Coefficient

B

R

Square

F Change in

R Square

Model 1 Constant 3.180*** 0.038 2.217 0.038

Gender 0.203

Age 0.086

Occupation 0.046

Income 0.004

Model 2 Constant 1.306 0.288 11.102*** 0.250***

Gender 0.122

Age 0.053

Occupation 0.030

Income 0.022

Reputation -0.036

Size -0.167***

Service

Quality

0.351***

Website 0.340***

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Quality

**p≤0.05; ***p≤0.01

Table 3 Multiple Regressions: Direct Effect of Reputation, Size, Perceived Service

Quality and Perceived Website Quality on Trust in Internet Shopping.

5.4.2. Relationship between Trust and Consumer Purchase Intention

At the first two stages of applying hierarchical multiple regression to test the

moderating effect of risk aversion, the direct effect of trust on purchase intention was

evaluated as summarized in Table. Control variables of gender, age, occupation and

income were included in the first stage and were not significant to explain the

regression line. Subsequently purchase intention was regressed on trust and the

significant result indicated that consumer trust in Internet shopping positively posed a

direct effect on purchase intention although the level of power was not very strong

with R square change being 0.087 (b=0.291, p=0.000).

Figure 3 Conceptual Model: Direct Effect of Trust on Purchase Intention

5.4.3. Moderating Effect of Risk Aversion on the Relationship between Trust and

Consumer Purchase Intention

By applying hierarchical multiple regression, the moderating effect of risk aversion on

the relationship between trust and purchase intention could be tested as suggested by

Nunally and Bernstein (1994). The moderated multiple regression procedures were

taken after the first two steps of including control variables and the independent

variable carried out in 5.4.2.

Trust in

Internet Shopping

Purchase

Intention

(+)

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Moderator

Figure 4 Conceptual Model: Moderating Effect of Risk Aversion

Stage 3 in Table showed that under the control of consumer trust in Internet

shopping as well as other control variables including gender, age, occupation and

income, the variable of risk aversion was also significant (p=0.000) to explain the

variance of the dependent variable purchase intention and the unstandardized

coefficients B for trust and risk aversion were 0.271 and 0.365 respectively. R square

change in this stage was 0.117. In Stage 4, the interaction between trust and risk

aversion of consumers was significant (p=0.001) to explain the variance in Purchase

Intention however the change in R square was not strong again being at 0.037. The

result indicated that different levels of consumers’ risk aversion could slightly

moderate the relationship between their trust in Internet shopping and the ultimate

purchase intention in the online context. And the coefficient B of -0.252 showed that

the direction was negative, confirming a weakening effect. The complete SPSS output

was included in Appendix.

(-)

Trust in

Internet Shopping

Purchase

Intention

Risk

Aversion

(+)

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Unstandardized

Coefficient

B

R

Square

F Change in

R Square

Model 1 Constant 4.205*** 0.016 0.983 0.016

Gender -0.018

Age 0.005

Occupation 0.073

Income -0.049

Model 2 Constant 3.281 0.104 5.157*** 0.087***

Gender -0.077

Age -0.020

Occupation 0.059

Income -0.050

Trust 0.291***

Model 3 Constant 1.780 0.221 10.488*** 0.117***

Gender -0.060

Age -0.036

Occupation 0.029

Income -0.003

Trust 0.271***

Risk

Aversion

0.365***

Model 4 Constant -1.984 0.258 10.962*** 0.037***

Gender -0.053

Age -0.045

Occupation 0.044

Income -0.002

Trust 1.402***

Risk

Aversion

1.201***

Interaction

(Trust*Risk

Aversion)

-0.252***

**p≤0.05; ***p≤0.01

Table 4 Hierarchical Multiple Regression: Moderating effect of Risk Aversion on the

relationship between Trust in Online Shopping and Consumer Purchase Intention.

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To summarize the findings, Table shows the results of hypotheses test in direct

effects of variables as well as moderating effect on the relationship.

Hypothesis Test Result

Hypothesis 1: Direct effect of reputation on trust Not Significant

Hypothesis 2: Direct effect of size on trust Rejected

Hypothesis 3: Direct effect of perceived service quality on trust Supported

Hypothesis 4: Direct effect of perceived site quality on trust Supported

Hypothesis 5: Direct effect of trust on purchase intention Supported

Hypothesis 6: Moderating effect of risk aversion Supported

Table 5 Hypotheses Tests

6. Discussions and Implications

In response to the research objectives, the results offer strong support for the direct

effects of perceived service quality and perceived website quality in building consumer

trust in online shopping as well as moderating effect of risk aversion on trust toward

purchase intention. However the finding shows that there is no significant relationship

between reputation of an online shopping website and consumer trust while size poses

a negative direct effect on trust which is opposite to hypothesis.

6.1. Trust in Internet Shopping

There are several factors affecting consumer trust in Internet shopping directly and

subsequently affecting purchase intention. According to the findings of this study,

consumers’ trust toward online shopping is positively influenced by service quality and

website quality perceived by customers. There is nothing surprising that people tend to

attach great importance to the quality of service they get in making online purchases as

well as the technical design and security of the shopping website.

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Although the perceived website size is significant in affecting consumer trust, the

effect is negative and opposite of the prediction. It was posited that large scale of

business ensured a high level of confidence in consumer therefore triggered high trust

in the online environment. However this appears not to be the case. The finding

suggests that the larger the website perceived by customers, the less trust is found in

making purchases on this website. A possible explanation of this contradiction may be

that the large scale of an online website does not convince consumers in Mainland

China that the store is trustworthy. For those stores with a wide range of businesses or

product categories, consumers may believe that they have lower ability to provide

high-quality service, or they become large players in the industry by making a fast

profit and forgetting customers’ interests. Consumers may also find themselves hard to

trust large-scale stores because they are possible to overemphasize on highly profitable

customers and neglect not-so-important clients’ needs. Contrarily, consumers tend to

find online vendors with small scale more trustworthy for they can focus on individual

customers and respond to their different needs more effectively. Those small stores are

believed to keep customers’ interests in mind and provide expected service and values.

Therefore the size of the website is deemed reversely related to consumer trust in

Internet shopping.

Moreover, the proposed positive relationship between reputation and consumer trust

is not supported by data. High reputation of the website does not contribute effectively

to building up consumer trust in the online environment. There are several possible

reasons to explain the finding. Firstly, consumers are becoming more and more rational

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nowadays. Therefore they rely on not only reputation of sellers but also all-round

information during making purchases. Moreover, as Chinese people have witnessed

accidents from those most esteemed brands one after another in the past few years, for

example, milk powder from San Lu, chicken containing poisonous chemicals from

KFC and disqualified automobiles from Toyota, they have lost much confidence in

relying on the so-called reputation of a company. This explains the insignificance of

relationship between reputation of a website and consumer trust in Internet shopping.

In this study, many respondents mentioned they had online shopping experience on

Taobao (淘寶) and gave a mean of 3.58 out of 5 in grading the website reputation.

However their high trust could not be explained by high level of perceived reputation

since they might think the company’s reputation just does not confirm the performance

of every vendor on the website.

Examining the relative importance of the three trust-building antecedents identified

in this study, service quality and website quality were found to have the most effect on

trust with their unstandardized coefficients being 0.351 and 0.340 respectively. And

size of an online store has a less strong negative effect on trust with its figure at -0.167.

6.2. Moderating effect of risk aversion

As the finding revealed, consumers’ trust in Internet shopping is positive related to

purchase intention yet the impact is negatively moderated by consumers’ risk aversion.

People with low risk aversion feel less threatened by ambiguous and uncertain

situations. Reflected in online consumptions, high risk-taking consumers tend to accept

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more the purchase of new products as well as innovative buying methods while low

risk-taking consumers are easier to find it risky to try out unfamiliar things.

As the result shows, the role of trust in consumer purchase intention varies under

different levels of risk aversion. For consumers of high risk aversion, the effect of trust

on purchase intention is lower. And for those of low risk aversion, the effect of trust on

purchase intention is higher. Figure shows the interaction effect between consumer

trust and consumers’ risk aversion. The slope of the lines represents the effect of

consumer trust on purchase intention under two risk aversion levels respectively. For

people who are of low risk aversion, i.e. high risk-taking, trust positively affects

purchase intention to a larger extent. For people who are of high risk aversion, i.e. low

risk taking, trust still positively affects purchase intention, yet to a smaller extent. In

other words, the role of consumer trust in purchase intention is reduced with people of

high risk aversion.

Figure 5 Conceptual Explanation: Negative Moderating Effect of Risk Aversion

Purchase

Intention

High

Risk Aversion

Low

Risk Aversion

Consumer Trust Low/High

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As a result, though consumer trust has positive impact on purchase intention, the

effects differ among customers of low risk aversion and high risk aversion. High risk

aversion will weaken the relationship between trust and purchase intention.

6.3. Theoretical implications

The findings of this study generate several implications. Firstly, consistent with prior

researches the antecedents of trust such as perceived service quality and website

quality have been identified and analyzed in the model. And service quality was found

to have more significant effect on trust. However, contrary to prediction and previous

studies, reputation appeared to not be a significant determinant of consumer trust in an

Internet-based store. Moreover, size of an online store was found to have a negative

effect on trust which prompts interesting questions regarding the relationship between

these variables in future studies. Maybe the measure needs to be reexamined and other

confounding factors are recommended to be included in the model.

Another contribution of this study emerges from the inclusion of risk aversion as an

important consumer characteristic in the online shopping context. The finding suggests

that different risk-taking levels of consumers have different interactive effects on their

buying intentions which originally determined only by trust. The study extends

previous research in the area of trust consequences in online shopping by exploring the

role of risk-taking characteristic in the context. It also extends the study conducted by

Bao, Zhou & Su (2003) in which only the effect of risk-aversion on consumers’ general

decision making was examined.

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6.4. Managerial implications

There are several practical implications generated from this study. Firstly, the

importance of trust in future purchase intention indicates that trust is a criterion

consumers use to evaluate sellers on the Internet. Therefore it is crucial for online

vendors to attract potential customers to make purchases by increasing their trust. And

the study provides insights into how trust is built by identifying three antecedents of

consumer trust. Since perceived service quality and perceived website quality are key

determinants of trust in positive direction, online retailers should pay efforts to impress

potential customers with these two areas in their operation. For instance, some

value-added services could be provided to customers apart from just selling the product,

such as secure and fast delivery, reliable payment methods, certificate of quality

assurance, and after-sale service etc. Indicators of website quality may include easiness

to use, clear contact information as well as attractive interface design. In other words, a

user-friendly website is believed to be more reliable and professional in the eyes of

customers. The results suggest that retailers should manage customers’ perceptions of

service quality and website quality through focusing on both customer-oriented and

superior services and comprehensive website design and maintenance.

Since reputation is not a factor used by consumers to assess online vendors

according to the findings, it is suggested that retailers should not spend a lot of

resources in advertising blindly. Deeper thoughts should be given into how customers

perceive brands and publicity so that more effective techniques could be incorporated

in company’s marketing communications to enhance firm image.

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Secondly, the study suggests that people’s different risk-taking attitudes affect their

trust and purchase intention relationship. Therefore it becomes crucial for retailers to

understand not only the determinants of potential consumers’ trust but also their

risk-taking personality.

As discussed earlier, risk aversion reflects one’s general tendency to avoid

uncertainty (Hofstede, 1980). People with low risk aversion tend to feel confident

about their choices therefore enjoy shopping around on the Internet. In order to attract

customers who are relatively risk-taking, online vendors could secure their trust level

by offering superior service and leading over website quality because the effect of trust

on purchase intention is higher with this group of people. More importantly, as

risk-taking consumers are also more likely to switch to other retailers on the Internet,

continuous reassurance as well as quick responses to customers’ enquiries should be

provided to build long-term trust. On the other hand, highly risk-averse people are

more likely to be reluctant in taking actions and search for detailed information in

making a decision. To cope with these highly risk-averse customers, however, retailers

are suggested to act differently. Faced with uncertainty and perceived risks, these

people usually have a desire to look for alternatives unless they have sufficient

knowledge or experience. Merely emphasizing on building trust through

above-mentioned methods will not work for them as effectively as for risk-taking

people. Alternative techniques, such as providing trial experience, and making use of

word-of-mouth of former customers, could be adopted to increase risk-averse

customers’ purchase intention in the unknown environment. Online retailers could also

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offer clear guidance on useful information to facilitate their decision making, such as

security policies (Grewal, Munger, Iyer & Levy, 2003), and trusted third party

verification (Yousafzai, Pallister, & Foxall, 2005).

7. Limitations and Future Research

There are several limitations on the research findings. Firstly, there’s a problem of

generalizability of study results caused by the sampling methods. Though simple

random sampling was used as a part of data collection, it was not purely random

because the places chosen were all high traffic areas due to constraints on time and cost

(Prendergast, Ho and Phau 2002). And convenience sampling might also have bias

problem in the selection of samples. People to whom the online survey was sent tend to

be frequent users of Internet thus much possibly also the frequent users of online

shopping. In addition, the usable sample size was 231 which were 9 less than the

expected amount calculated according to the previous research. Therefore they might

not be representative of the whole population in Mainland China and a larger sample

size may be considered in future research.

Secondly, reliabilities of most scales in the study ranged between 0.7 and 0.9 except

for one at 0.696, a little bit lower than the accepted level. Therefore future research

may need to reexamine and redefine the measure in order to achieve a higher reliability

level.

Thirdly, others antecedent factors that may impact trust should be found out in future

research in order to obtain a deeper insight into the field, such as previous experience

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in Internet shopping and word-of-mouth influence from peers. Also, reasons for lack of

direct link between reputation and trust as well as negative effect of website size on

trust should be examined.

Finally, this research is the first one that includes consumers’ risk aversion

characteristic in analyzing trust in Internet shopping. Although the current study has

provided insights into the negative moderating effect of risk aversion on consumer’s

purchase intention, further support is still needed in the future research. Deeper

investigations into this particular area as well as other factors related to risk aversion

are recommended so as to reach a more comprehensive understanding of consumers

trust in the online shopping environment.

8. Conclusion

The main objective of this study is to investigate factors affecting consumers’ trust

towards Internet shopping in Mainland China and how it influences their purchase

intention. And it also examines the moderating effect of risk aversion on the

relationship between trust and purchase intention of consumers in Mainland China.

The results prove the proposed positive direct effect of perceived service quality and

perceived website quality on consumer trust. Perceived website size, however, appears

to be reversely related to consumer trust toward online shopping which is opposite to

expectation. And the fourth factor, reputation, shows no significant effect in

determining consumer trust. Crucial in affecting future purchase intentions, trust

toward Internet shopping however is moderated by the interactive effect of consumers’

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risk aversion in a negative direction.

The research offers for online retailers not only insight into aspects in which efforts

should be made to build up trust in Internet shoppers, but also directions to enhance

future purchase intentions by taking risk aversion into consideration.

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